União São João vs Osvaldo Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 2
GUA
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 2
UNI
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
AME
0 - 3
UNI
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 1
CAT
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
AUD
1 - 1
UNI
44%
23%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Osvaldo Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 1
OSV
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
OSV
1 - 3
CAT
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
OSV
0 - 0
FLA
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
VFC
2 - 1
OSV
60%
22%
19%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
LIN
4 - 2
OSV
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |