União São João vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
36.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
0 - 0
UNI
27%
23%
50%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 0
FLA
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 1
VFC
62%
21%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 2
UNI
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
5 - 1
OSV
70%
18%
11%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 2
AME
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
NOR
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 3
MAR
31%
25%
45%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 2
MAR
25%
22%
52%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 3
ATL
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |