União São João vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 4
ECN
75%
16%
10%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
GDS
0 - 0
UNI
16%
20%
65%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
MOG
0 - 2
UNI
11%
16%
74%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
SAO
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
IND
1 - 1
UNI
15%
19%
66%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 2
IND
34%
27%
39%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
IND
0 - 2
MOG
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
IND
1 - 2
ECN
50%
25%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
GDS
0 - 1
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
IND
1 - 1
UNI
15%
19%
66%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |