União São João vs Guaçuano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 1
VOT
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FRA
3 - 2
UNI
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 1
RIO
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 0
UNI
81%
14%
5%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 2
TAU
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guaçuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 2
AME
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
BAR
47%
25%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SEP
2 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
BAT
44%
24%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
IND
50%
24%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |