União São João vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
AME
1 - 0
UNI
41%
25%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 0
UNI
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 1
SAN
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
4 - 2
UNI
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
AUD
0 - 2
UNI
68%
18%
14%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
FER
3 - 2
SEP
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
FER
3 - 2
SAO
51%
24%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
AUD
0 - 0
FER
62%
21%
18%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
FER
1 - 1
UNI
42%
25%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
FER
50%
24%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |