União São João vs Catanduvense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
UNI
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 0
AME
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 0
UNI
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 2
MAR
36%
24%
40%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
SER
2 - 0
UNI
30%
25%
46%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
CAT
1 - 1
AME
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CAT
1 - 0
FER
53%
23%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MON
0 - 2
CAT
47%
24%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
CAT
1 - 2
RIO
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAT
60%
21%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |