União São João vs Bandeirante SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 4
CAB
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 1
UNI
28%
24%
48%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SER
4 - 1
UNI
25%
23%
52%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 3
BER
62%
21%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
UNI
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bandeirante SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BAN
3 - 2
GRE
25%
26%
50%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
BAN
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LEM
1 - 0
BAN
26%
23%
50%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 0
CAB
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MAT
0 - 0
BAN
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |