União São João vs América SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
6.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+118%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
AME
3 - 0
UNI
9%
16%
76%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
FLA
0 - 3
UNI
15%
20%
66%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
NAC
67%
19%
15%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
ECN
1 - 0
UNI
19%
21%
60%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
GDS
65%
19%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
AME
3 - 0
UNI
9%
16%
76%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
AME
73%
17%
10%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
AME
0 - 0
FLA
17%
24%
59%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
CAT
1 - 1
AME
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
AME
2 - 1
BEB
20%
24%
56%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +2 |