União São João vs América SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
SEP
2 - 0
UNI
46%
25%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 3
INT
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
UNI
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
BAT
2 - 1
UNI
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 2
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
AME
3 - 0
FRA
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
AME
1 - 2
BAT
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
INT
1 - 1
AME
43%
26%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
AME
1 - 0
ITA
47%
24%
28%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
AME
0 - 2
SEP
56%
22%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |