União São João vs América SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 0
UNI
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 2
MAR
36%
24%
40%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
SER
2 - 0
UNI
30%
25%
46%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
MON
54%
23%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 0
UNI
33%
26%
42%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
AME
3 - 3
SER
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
AME
1 - 0
RIO
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
AME
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
AME
1 - 3
RIO
49%
24%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
FER
3 - 1
AME
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |