União Santarém vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
1º
4º
2º
10
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 35 |
1º
|
55% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 28 |
2º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
10 | 28 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 26 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 25 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 24 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 24 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 20 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 20 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 18 |
10º
|
35% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
54.5% | 67% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
45.5% | 33% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
USA
2 - 0
ATL
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
USA
2 - 1
ESA
15%
20%
65%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
USA
19%
24%
58%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
USA
1 - 1
LUS
52%
24%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
USA
0 - 0
VST
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SCP
1 - 1
OLI
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SPC
2 - 3
SCP
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SCP
2 - 1
TRO
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 2
SAO
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ESA
3 - 0
SCP
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |