União Santarém vs Peniche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.7%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
4.6%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+104%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
13º
1º
37
6º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 0
USA
28%
27%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
USA
2 - 2
GOU
87%
10%
3%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
USA
2 - 0
BES
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
USA
4 - 0
MAR
58%
24%
19%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
1DE
0 - 0
USA
29%
29%
42%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 1
MAR
16%
23%
62%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
PEN
72%
18%
9%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 2
PEN
68%
19%
14%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
COR
4 - 1
PEN
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 3
VIT
29%
25%
46%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |