União Santarém vs Monção analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
1DE
1 - 1
USA
17%
24%
59%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
USA
2 - 0
SAC
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
USA
0 - 1
CAL
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 0
USA
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
USA
3 - 0
SCP
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Monção
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
VPE
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 6
MON
56%
20%
24%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MER
2 - 1
MON
59%
20%
20%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MON
4 - 0
BRI
28%
22%
50%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +3 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PED
0 - 1
MON
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |