União Santarém vs Marinhense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
19.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
ALV
0 - 0
USA
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CON
2 - 3
USA
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 3
USA
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
USA
1 - 1
ALV
23%
25%
52%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
USA
0 - 1
CON
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
CON
36%
24%
41%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
ALV
4 - 0
MAR
75%
16%
10%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 3
USA
41%
23%
36%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
MAR
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 3
ALV
23%
26%
51%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -2 |