União Santarém vs Lourinhanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.6%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.1%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8%
3.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SAC
0 - 2
USA
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
USA
4 - 1
SIN
41%
23%
35%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +3 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 1
USA
9%
15%
76%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
USA
1 - 1
LOU
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
USA
2 - 0
1DE
53%
20%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lourinhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
LOU
0 - 4
ALV
9%
18%
73%
|
14 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 1
SAC
12%
21%
67%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
SIN
5 - 1
LOU
84%
11%
4%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 1
USA
9%
15%
76%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
LOU
0 - 2
LOU
85%
11%
4%
|
10 | 35 | 25 | +2 |