União Santarém vs Loures analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
11º
2º
25
11º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
37% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
63% | 18% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 82% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PER
1 - 0
USA
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
USA
0 - 0
COR
55%
24%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SIN
0 - 0
USA
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SAB
0 - 2
USA
21%
21%
57%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
USA
1 - 1
BEN
47%
26%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Loures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 3
BEN
34%
26%
39%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 2
MAR
44%
26%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
1DE
3 - 0
LOU
47%
26%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 2
MOR
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
LOU
0 - 0
UDA
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |