União Santarém vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
1º
4º
2º
9
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 35 |
1º
|
55% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 28 |
2º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 28 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 26 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 25 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 24 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
9 | 24 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 20 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 20 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 18 |
10º
|
35% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
54.5% | 41.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
45.5% | 58.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 0
USA
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
USA
3 - 0
SCP
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
USA
2 - 0
ATL
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
USA
2 - 1
ESA
15%
20%
65%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
USA
19%
24%
58%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 1
OLI
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SPC
1 - 0
CAL
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 0
LUS
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
CAL
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 2
MAF
12%
19%
69%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |