União RS vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CRU
1 - 0
URS
60%
23%
17%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
URS
1 - 1
LAJ
26%
26%
48%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
YPI
5 - 0
URS
56%
24%
20%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
URS
71%
19%
10%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
URS
1 - 1
ECS
24%
24%
53%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAS
44%
26%
31%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 2
SCI
11%
20%
69%
|
45 | 83 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
VER
0 - 1
SAO
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 1
AIM
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 3
JUV
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |