União RS vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
57.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
GRE
3 - 0
URS
82%
14%
4%
|
41 | 84 | 43 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
URS
1 - 1
ECA
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
ECA
1 - 0
URS
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
URS
0 - 0
CAC
46%
26%
29%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
CAC
0 - 2
URS
52%
25%
24%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CAX
0 - 1
BRA
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 0
CAX
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
CAX
0 - 1
GUA
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAX
2 - 2
MAD
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 1
CAX
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |