URT vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CRZ
0 - 0
URT
84%
13%
4%
|
45 | 85 | 40 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 2
URT
64%
22%
15%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
URT
0 - 2
CRZ
9%
19%
72%
|
44 | 87 | 43 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
URT
0 - 1
CAL
28%
27%
45%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ATM
4 - 0
URT
86%
11%
3%
|
45 | 85 | 40 | -1 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 1
TOM
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 2
CRA
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
DUQ
5 - 0
VIL
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -3 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 3
BOT
24%
26%
49%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
GAM
1 - 2
VIL
68%
21%
11%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +2 |