URT vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
40.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
URT
47%
27%
26%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
URT
1 - 0
TRI
51%
23%
25%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
URT
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
URT
1 - 0
ATM
10%
20%
71%
|
46 | 85 | 39 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
URT
1 - 1
TOM
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TUP
0 - 3
ATM
12%
22%
66%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BOA
0 - 1
TUP
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TUP
0 - 1
VIL
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
TOM
0 - 2
TUP
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
TUP
3 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
22%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |