URT vs Real Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
54.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
URT
49%
27%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 1
URT
62%
22%
16%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
URT
0 - 1
POA
27%
26%
48%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
URT
0 - 3
NVE
21%
25%
54%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
FER
8 - 0
URT
69%
21%
11%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2022 |
REA
3 - 0
CAP
83%
12%
4%
|
55 | 14 | 41 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
REA
1 - 0
NVE
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
INT
1 - 3
REA
47%
27%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
REA
1 - 0
VIT
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
FER
1 - 2
REA
61%
23%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |