URT vs Goianésia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
GOI
1 - 3
URT
31%
27%
42%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
VOL
1 - 0
URT
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
URT
2 - 1
DES
44%
27%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ATM
2 - 0
URT
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
URT
2 - 2
ATM
11%
20%
70%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | +1 |
Matches
Goianésia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
GOI
1 - 3
URT
31%
27%
42%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
DES
4 - 1
GOI
61%
22%
16%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
GOI
0 - 4
VOL
25%
28%
47%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
ABC
3 - 2
GOI
62%
22%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
APA
0 - 0
GOI
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |