URT vs Democrata GV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
TOM
2 - 0
URT
73%
18%
9%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ATH
4 - 0
URT
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
URT
1 - 1
AVA
10%
22%
67%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
URT
0 - 0
AMF
9%
22%
70%
|
45 | 82 | 37 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
POA
1 - 1
URT
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
DEM
0 - 1
ATM
8%
19%
74%
|
46 | 90 | 44 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 0
DEM
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ATH
1 - 0
DEM
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
DEM
1 - 0
TOM
22%
27%
51%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
DEM
3 - 0
UBE
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |