URT vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
REA
0 - 0
URT
65%
22%
13%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
URT
2 - 2
INT
22%
27%
51%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
INT
1 - 0
URT
65%
22%
13%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
URT
1 - 0
REA
19%
26%
55%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
URT
49%
27%
24%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 2
NVE
20%
26%
54%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
CAL
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 2
FER
20%
29%
51%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
NVE
3 - 1
CAL
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
URT
49%
27%
24%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |