URT vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
URT
1 - 0
PAT
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
COI
1 - 1
URT
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
URT
1 - 0
ITU
20%
26%
54%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 1
URT
64%
22%
14%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
SER
0 - 0
URT
55%
23%
21%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 0
UBE
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
AMF
2 - 2
CAL
82%
14%
4%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 2
ITU
21%
28%
51%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
ITU
2 - 1
CAL
66%
22%
13%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
POR
0 - 1
CAL
36%
28%
36%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |