URT vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
VOL
2 - 0
URT
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
URT
1 - 1
VOL
37%
28%
35%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
DES
0 - 1
URT
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
URT
0 - 0
VOL
34%
28%
39%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
URT
4 - 0
GOI
67%
20%
14%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 1
ANA
43%
28%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
ANA
1 - 1
CAL
49%
28%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
ESP
67%
21%
12%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
BOA
0 - 1
CAL
30%
29%
42%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
AUD
0 - 2
CAL
67%
22%
12%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |