URT vs Bahia de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
36.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
URT
3 - 2
CAL
44%
27%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
REA
0 - 0
URT
65%
22%
13%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
URT
2 - 2
INT
22%
27%
51%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
INT
1 - 0
URT
65%
22%
13%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
URT
1 - 0
REA
19%
26%
55%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Bahia de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 0
POA
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
INT
0 - 1
BAH
60%
24%
16%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 2
REA
26%
27%
47%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
REA
1 - 1
BAH
63%
23%
14%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 1
INT
29%
27%
44%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |