URT vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
67.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
18.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.4%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
URT
0 - 0
AMF
9%
22%
70%
|
45 | 82 | 37 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
POA
1 - 1
URT
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
URT
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
URT
1 - 0
ATM
4%
17%
80%
|
44 | 90 | 46 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
URT
1 - 1
UBE
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
AVA
2 - 1
CAC
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 0
AVA
15%
23%
62%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
AVA
0 - 0
JEC
78%
16%
7%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 0
AVA
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
AVA
0 - 1
ECP
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 42 | 31 | 0 |