União Madeira vs UD Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
22.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
UNM
1 - 1
NAC
18%
21%
61%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
UNM
1 - 3
GFC
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
UNM
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
LEX
1 - 1
UNM
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
UNM
1 - 2
PEN
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
OLI
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
OLI
3 - 2
ATL
58%
22%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
TRO
3 - 0
OLI
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
OLI
3 - 1
BMA
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
POR
1 - 2
OLI
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |