União Madeira vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 0
UNM
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
UNM
2 - 3
PEN
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SPC
0 - 2
UNM
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
UNM
3 - 2
AVE
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
ACA
3 - 1
UNM
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 0
TRO
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
TRO
0 - 0
OLI
56%
24%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SCF
3 - 1
TRO
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
TRO
2 - 2
PEN
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
TRO
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |