União Madeira vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
35.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BMA
0 - 0
UNM
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
UNM
3 - 0
POR
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
TRO
1 - 0
UNM
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
UNM
0 - 0
ATL
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
UNM
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 2
CHA
54%
26%
21%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SPC
0 - 0
PEN
20%
28%
52%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PEN
3 - 0
ACV
53%
28%
19%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
TON
0 - 3
PEN
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 1
MOR
38%
29%
34%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |