União Madeira vs Ovarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
UNI
2 - 1
UNM
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
UNM
0 - 0
SPC
56%
25%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
FAF
2 - 1
UNM
61%
22%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
UNM
3 - 2
ESP
37%
28%
34%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
MOR
2 - 2
UNM
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
SPC
3 - 0
OVA
40%
27%
34%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
OVA
3 - 2
AVE
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
CHA
4 - 1
OVA
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
OVA
2 - 0
ESP
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
UNI
0 - 2
OVA
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |