União Madeira vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
45.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
MAI
1 - 0
UNM
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
SPC
3 - 1
UNM
40%
29%
32%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
UNM
1 - 2
SAL
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
FEL
2 - 0
UNM
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
UNM
1 - 3
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
LEX
0 - 2
NAV
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
NAV
1 - 0
CHA
55%
24%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 0
NAV
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
NAV
1 - 0
PEN
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
POR
1 - 1
NAV
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |