União Madeira vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
UNM
2 - 0
USA
82%
13%
5%
|
55 | 15 | 40 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
UNM
2 - 1
LEC
89%
9%
2%
|
55 | 16 | 39 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MER
0 - 3
UNM
19%
22%
59%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 0
UNM
7%
16%
77%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
UNM
1 - 0
PAR
89%
9%
2%
|
55 | 22 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
LUS
3 - 3
GAF
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 3
LUS
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LUS
2 - 1
PED
43%
25%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
COI
2 - 1
LUS
47%
24%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CES
0 - 0
LUS
59%
23%
18%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |