União Madeira vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
25.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
ACA
3 - 1
UNM
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
UDL
1 - 2
UNM
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
MAF
1 - 1
UNM
34%
24%
42%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
UNM
2 - 0
ALC
79%
14%
6%
|
62 | 16 | 46 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
UNM
0 - 0
CHA
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +10 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 0
AVE
39%
27%
33%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
AVE
0 - 2
FEI
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
AVE
51%
27%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
AVE
3 - 2
ARO
45%
26%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
LEX
0 - 0
AVE
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |