União Madeira vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
LUS
1 - 0
UNM
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
UNM
16%
23%
62%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
UNM
2 - 0
SPO
90%
8%
2%
|
53 | 9 | 44 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
RDA
2 - 1
UNM
13%
22%
66%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
UNM
1 - 1
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
AMA
1 - 0
GON
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
AMA
3 - 1
CES
56%
24%
21%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
GAF
0 - 2
AMA
36%
27%
38%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
AMA
0 - 1
COI
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 1
AMA
24%
26%
50%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |