União de Leiria vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
UDL
1 - 1
MAR
70%
20%
11%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
UDL
1 - 0
CON
75%
17%
8%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
UDL
3 - 1
ALC
81%
14%
5%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
UDL
1 - 0
SER
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
OLE
0 - 4
UDL
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 0
ALC
55%
22%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
OLE
3 - 1
VIT
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 0
VIT
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 3
VIT
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 1
SER
27%
25%
48%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |