União de Leiria vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2002 |
LEV
1 - 2
UDL
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2002 |
UDL
0 - 3
LEV
44%
25%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
VIT
2 - 4
UDL
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
UDL
4 - 1
FAR
68%
20%
11%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
GFC
0 - 0
UDL
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
CEL
4 - 0
VIT
79%
15%
6%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
VIT
2 - 4
UDL
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2002 |
ALV
3 - 2
VIT
41%
27%
33%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2002 |
VIT
2 - 1
BEL
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
FCP
3 - 0
VIT
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |