União de Leiria vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
FCP
3 - 0
UDL
91%
7%
2%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
POR
2 - 0
UDL
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
UDL
0 - 3
SLB
12%
20%
68%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
BOA
1 - 0
UDL
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1981 |
UDL
2 - 2
ESP
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
VIT
2 - 0
POR
61%
24%
15%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
SLB
1 - 0
VIT
84%
11%
5%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
VIT
1 - 0
BOA
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1981 |
ESP
0 - 0
VIT
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1981 |
VIT
1 - 0
PEN
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |