Prev. Taça da Liga 1ra Ronda Final
Global 1-0
União de Leiria vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
VAR
0 - 0
UDL
34%
27%
40%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
UDL
1 - 1
PAÇ
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 0
UDL
54%
26%
21%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
UDL
1 - 3
LEX
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
UDL
4 - 1
SCP
17%
25%
59%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +3 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
VAR
0 - 0
UDL
34%
27%
40%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
GON
2 - 2
VAR
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
VAR
0 - 0
FEI
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
RIO
0 - 1
VAR
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 0
VAR
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |