União de Leiria vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 3
UDL
5%
16%
79%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
UDL
4 - 0
ADN
81%
14%
5%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 2
UDL
17%
24%
60%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
UDL
2 - 0
OLE
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SIN
0 - 1
UDL
19%
24%
58%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 0
IRI
76%
16%
8%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SER
0 - 1
BEN
27%
28%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 0
FAT
65%
21%
15%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ALC
3 - 0
BEN
10%
22%
68%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | -3 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 1
ANA
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |