União de Leiria vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
ACA
0 - 0
UDL
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 2
UDL
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
UDL
0 - 4
SLB
14%
21%
66%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
FEI
2 - 1
UDL
40%
29%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
UDL
1 - 0
VIT
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
VST
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
VST
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
MAR
42%
26%
33%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
PAÇ
38%
28%
35%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
FCP
23%
23%
54%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |