União de Leiria vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
UDL
45%
27%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
UDL
3 - 1
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
ACA
3 - 2
UDL
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
UDL
2 - 2
FCP
21%
25%
54%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
VST
0 - 0
UDL
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
NAV
2 - 0
ORI
51%
23%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
FCP
6 - 0
ORI
85%
10%
5%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | +4 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
ORI
0 - 2
BEL
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
OLH
2 - 0
ORI
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
ORI
1 - 1
BEL
31%
31%
38%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |