União de Leiria vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
UDL
0 - 0
MAR
57%
25%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
VST
1 - 1
UDL
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
UDL
1 - 1
GFC
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
NAC
0 - 3
UDL
47%
26%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
UDL
1 - 0
SLB
25%
25%
51%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
PEN
0 - 1
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 0
BEL
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
EST
2 - 0
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
NAC
0 - 3
UDL
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
RIO
4 - 1
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |