União de Leiria vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
AMO
2 - 0
UDL
55%
25%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
UDL
1 - 0
VIT
38%
27%
36%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
FCP
3 - 0
UDL
91%
7%
2%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
POR
2 - 0
UDL
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
UDL
0 - 3
SLB
12%
20%
68%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
EST
2 - 1
POR
42%
32%
27%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
SLB
3 - 0
EST
89%
8%
3%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
EST
1 - 0
BOA
30%
32%
38%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
ESP
2 - 1
EST
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
EST
2 - 0
PEN
40%
29%
31%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |