União de Leiria vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
UDL
1 - 0
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
VIT
2 - 1
UDL
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
UDL
1 - 1
BMA
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
FCP
1 - 0
UDL
90%
7%
3%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
UDL
2 - 0
RIO
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
EST
1 - 1
VIT
37%
29%
34%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
BMA
3 - 1
EST
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
EST
0 - 0
FCP
16%
27%
57%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
RIO
0 - 2
EST
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
EST
0 - 0
VST
40%
31%
29%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |