União de Leiria vs Carapinheirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
10%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10%
3%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
UDL
6 - 0
ANM
88%
10%
3%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
IDE
0 - 1
UDL
21%
25%
55%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
UDL
3 - 0
OLE
88%
10%
3%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
UDL
0 - 2
BOA
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FAT
1 - 0
UDL
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Carapinheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 2
OPE
11%
20%
70%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ANM
0 - 4
CAR
47%
22%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 3
IDE
25%
22%
53%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -3 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
OLE
2 - 1
CAR
23%
22%
55%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 0
FAT
15%
20%
65%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +6 |