União de Leiria vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
REA
3 - 4
UDL
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
UDL
2 - 1
USA
75%
17%
8%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SCP
0 - 2
UDL
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
UDL
2 - 2
OLI
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
UDL
2 - 0
ORI
58%
24%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 1
AMO
30%
27%
43%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
ALV
0 - 1
CAL
63%
22%
16%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 5
BEL
10%
21%
69%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 2
COV
20%
25%
56%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 0
TOR
22%
28%
50%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +3 |