União de Leiria vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
65.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
FEI
2 - 1
UDL
40%
29%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
UDL
1 - 0
VIT
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
GFC
2 - 1
UDL
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
UDL
1 - 0
SAN
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SCP
3 - 1
UDL
79%
14%
6%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 4
SLB
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
SLB
5 - 1
RIO
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
SLB
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
SLB
1 - 0
GAL
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
SLB
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |